Steamboat Springs The numbers just don't add up.
Certainly, Brett Favre is one of the best quarterbacks of the past 10, 20 or even 50 years. But as he progresses with his new team in a new system, one fact remains: Favre hasn't been that great of a quarterback in the past three years.
Anyone who thinks the New York Jets will make the playoffs with the addition of Favre is just plain nuts.
There are too many factors that work against Favre.
Sure, he led Green Bay to the NFC Championship game last year, and he has won a Super Bowl.
But take into account some startling numbers.
In Favre's past three seasons, he's thrown a total of 66 touchdowns and 62 interceptions.
Consider the last three healthy years for quarterbacks Jake Delhomme, Chad Pennington, Steve McNair and J.P. Losman.
(Health is a touchy subject because Favre is an iron man. One thing you know you'll get is him behind center, every game.)
Delhomme has 70 touchdowns and 42 interceptions, Pennington has 43 and 34, McNair has 34 and 27, and Losman has 31 and 28. All have similar touchdown-to-interception ratios.
Sure, Favre has thrown twice as many touchdowns as Losman, but he's also thrown almost three times as many interceptions.
That's one reason if you're the Green Bay front office, you played the situation perfectly. It would have been nice to see Favre go out with the Packers, but when he became the biggest drama queen in professional sports, the Packers brass did the right thing.
They went with youth in Aaron Rodgers and let go of Favre, who's been a mediocre starting NFL quarterback the past three years.
And now that he's with the Jets, he's on a much worse team. Favre certainly has been durable - he's a tough guy. But he's going to a team that gave up 53 sacks - that's 3.3 a game - last year. In Green Bay, Favre got sacked just 20 times last year. It's no wonder Pennington never could stay healthy.
Then, when you look at the AFC East, you see what might be one of the most improved divisions in the NFL. Buffalo didn't lose much, added quite a bit and finished second to New England last year. Miami still is probably the worst team in the division, but it won't be for long with Bill Parcells running things in the front office.
Then, there is New England, which will win at least 13 games - including two against the New York Jets.
But maybe the biggest factor against Favre is going to a new offensive system for the first time in his life. Imagine knowing only English for 16 years, then having to learn Spanish in one year. It's possible, but it certainly isn't good for a playoff run.
The bottom line is that Favre is a great quarterback, but his last three years have been pedestrian.
He'll be in Canton, Ohio, someday, but there's no way he's in the playoffs this year.